Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,602·Volume $14.7K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes12%No88%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,205 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$19
72h +$19
Smart money entered68¢88¢at 00:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$2,602
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,205 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,205 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$19, +$19 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $17 |
| 8h ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | hugecaulkMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $136 |
| 5d ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 85¢ | $37 |
| 6d ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $24 |
| 6d ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $106 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 71¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $1,254 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $16 |