Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
ActiveLiquidity $120.7K·Volume $205.0K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes91%No9%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$26.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$26.1K
72h +$29.3K
Smart money entered87¢92¢at 14:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$120.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $26.8K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$26.1K, +$29.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $22 |
| 16h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $22 |
| 17h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $66 |
| 17h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $66 |
| 21h ago | mr.oziTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $4,347 |
| 22h ago | mr.oziTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $17,153 |
| 22h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $200 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $202 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $202 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $177 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $177 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $27 |
| 23h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $1,033 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $1,033 |
| 2d ago | mr.oziTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $3,095 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 10¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 9.0¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $223 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 36¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 37¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $79 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $22 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $11 |