Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ActiveLiquidity $101.5K·Volume $5.8M·Ends Oct 28, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
66%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$19.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$458
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 07:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Oct 28, 2026)Liquidity$101.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $19.5K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$458 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $179 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $179 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $214 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | pakukudolphiMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $33 |
| 3d ago | BunCaChamMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $316 |
| 3d ago | BunCaChamMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $157 |
| 3d ago | BunCaChamMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,096 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $74 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $316 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $86 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $137 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $13 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $20 |