Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,435·Volume $4,110·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$481 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢95¢at 07:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$3,435
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $481 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $481 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.