Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $117.3K·Volume $3.9M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$70.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$962
72h +$962
Smart money entered92¢96¢at 03:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$117.3K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $70.3K riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$962, +$962 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $481 |
| 2h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $481 |
| 1d ago | notgoodluckMid | Sell | Yes | 2.6¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | notgoodluckMid | Sell | Yes | 2.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | notgoodluckMid | Sell | Yes | 2.6¢ | $156 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $214 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $78 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $32 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $304 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $282 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $17 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $32 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,156 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,056 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $384 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $100 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $98 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $550 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $30 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $188 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $307 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,172 |
| 1w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $6,891 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,034 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2,850 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $88 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $1,860 |
| 1w ago | yen4uMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1,905 |
| 2w ago | mountaindewdTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $2,068 |
| 2w ago | mountaindewdTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $2,973 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $1,998 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $475 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $51 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $307 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $42 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $22 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $27 |