Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $817.5K·Volume $7.1M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
1% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
1%price1%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$680 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$358
72h +$376
Smart money entered0.4¢0.5¢at 06:55(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$817.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $680 riding on it.
The price of 1% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 0.4¢; the price was 0.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $680 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$358, +$376 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:55
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |