Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $24.4K·Volume $121.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes12%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$35.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$362
72h +$22.8K
Smart money entered84¢89¢at 21:39Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$24.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $35.4K riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$362, +$22.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $10 |
| 11h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $20 |
| 11h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $46 |
| 11h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $124 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $124 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $2,351 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $2,351 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $204 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $13,037 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $204 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $13,037 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $129 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | carlos484Top | Sell | No | 85¢ | $8,091 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $421 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $500 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $1,676 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $1,780 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $8,000 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $84 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $861 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $861 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $679 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $679 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $157 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $23,051 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |