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Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

ActiveLiquidity $49.4K·Volume $182.6K·Ends Nov 29, 2026
Price now:Yes67%No34%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
66% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,179 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$66
72h +$442
Smart money entered71¢66¢at 11:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 18d(Nov 29, 2026)Liquidity$49.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,179 riding on it.

The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,179 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$66, +$442 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes65¢$65
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes66¢$56
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes66¢$43
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes67¢$109
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes67¢$173
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes67¢$4
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes67¢$63
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyYes67¢$226
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes55¢$11
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes55¢$26
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes55¢$6
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$8
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$4
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$209
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$90
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$138
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes71¢$265
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes71¢$18
3w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes71¢$2
4w agolongliveapplesTopSellNo25¢$247
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$112
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$50
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes70¢$47
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes68¢$68
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes70¢$39
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes70¢$93
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes74¢$64
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes74¢$79
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes74¢$17
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes74¢$49
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes74¢$13
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes73¢$99
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes69¢$122
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes73¢$46
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes73¢$215
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes73¢$5
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes78¢$103
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes78¢$141
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes78¢$52
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes78¢$16
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes81¢$295
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes81¢$8
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes81¢$8
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes81¢$162
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes81¢$12
4w agolongliveapplesTopBuyNo12¢$63
4w agolongliveapplesTopBuyNo12¢$62
12w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo7.0¢$7
12w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo11¢$11