Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $37.8K·Volume $63.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$302 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$48
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢97¢at 06:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$37.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $302 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $302 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$48, $0 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $48 |
| 3w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $33 |
| 3w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $271 |