Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $11.3K·Volume $250.6K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$3,163 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$18.9K
72h +$9,862
Smart money entered62¢100¢at 07:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.3K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,163 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$18.9K, +$9,862 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 2.0¢ | $27 |
| 7h ago | 1walrusMid | Sell | No | 7.0¢ | $28 |
| 7h ago | 1walrusMid | Sell | No | 7.0¢ | $28 |
| 7h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 9.0¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $682 |
| 8h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $682 |
| 9h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $216 |
| 9h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $854 |
| 9h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $40 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $375 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $375 |
| 9h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 75¢ | $838 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $140 |
| 9h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $140 |
| 9h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 66¢ | $97 |
| 9h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 66¢ | $97 |
| 11h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $636 |
| 11h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $770 |
| 11h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $636 |
| 11h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $770 |
| 13h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $74 |
| 13h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $74 |
| 13h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $180 |
| 14h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $166 |
| 14h ago | moonlight2020Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $166 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $900 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $900 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $300 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $457 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $457 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $600 |
| 14h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $600 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 66¢ | $66 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 66¢ | $66 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $140 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $140 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $64 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $64 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $84 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $84 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $15 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $67 |
| 15h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $67 |
| 16h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $40 |
| 16h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $40 |
| 16h ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $715 |
| 16h ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $715 |
| 17h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $13 |