Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
ActiveLiquidity $77.8K·Volume $327.2K·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
11
$117.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$107.5K
Smart money entered91¢98¢at 17:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$77.8K
Explanation
11 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $117.6K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$107.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:13