Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $21.6K·Volume $130.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No92%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,778 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢92¢at 06:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$21.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,778 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:59