Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $28.6K·Volume $280.0K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes10%No91%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
93%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$45.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢92¢at 21:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$28.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $45.4K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $45.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $2,500 |
| 3d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $500 |
| 3d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $84 |
| 3d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $7,997 |
| 4d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $7,946 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $624 |
| 4d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $23 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $26 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $42 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $577 |
| 4d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $5,000 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $11 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $10,000 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $5,000 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $5,000 |
| 5d ago | carlos484Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $357 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $286 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $60 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $550 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $179 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $87 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $44 |