Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $25.6K·Volume $95.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$10.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,567
72h +$2,567
Smart money entered97¢100¢at Nov 10, 23:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$25.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $10.4K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $10.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,567, +$2,567 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,208 |
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,208 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $34 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $34 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $39 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $19 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $29 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $29 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $98 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $33 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $96 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $32 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $429 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $938 |
| 3d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $29 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $83 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,690 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $97 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $24 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $145 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $427 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $49 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $332 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $244 |
| 4d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $47 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $256 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $137 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $790 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $3 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $49 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $98 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $221 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $612 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $74 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $119 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7,886 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $90 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 23¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | No | 29¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | No | 29¢ | $228 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | No | 29¢ | $45 |