Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $32.3K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,817 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered66¢100¢at 17:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,817 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,817 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $496 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $1,674 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $210 |
| 1w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $5,715 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $192 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $33 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $8 |