IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $26.9K·Volume $170.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes15%No85%
Smart money leans
Yes
15% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
80%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
15%price15%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$2,935 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,128
Smart money entered19¢15¢at 07:17(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$26.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $2,935 riding on it.
The price of 15% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 19¢; the price was 15¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,128 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $881 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $881 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $518 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $63 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $14 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $83 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $32 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $32 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $11 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $17 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $17 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $23 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $38 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $176 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $141 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $141 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $141 |
| 4d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $82 |
| 4d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $82 |
| 4d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $82 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $131 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $130 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $130 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $157 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $41 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $73 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $73 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $76 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $76 |
| 4d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $34 |