Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $41.4K·Volume $377.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$783 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered78¢94¢at 11:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$41.4K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $783 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $783 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $59 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $86 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 92¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $11 |
| 2w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $11 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 12¢ | $961 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $51 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $19 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $181 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $22 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $437 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $170 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $925 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $19 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $22 |
| 6w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 85¢ | $3,263 |
| 7w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $35 |
| 7w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $23 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $25 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $31 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $25 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 8w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $5 |
| 8w ago | qizhan1Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | qizhan1Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $5 |