Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $6,799·Volume $89.4K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes54%No46%
Smart money leans
Yes
54% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
54%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,432 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered52¢54¢at 04:55(58% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$6,799
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,432 riding on it.
The price of 54% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 54¢ at this snapshot — roughly 58% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,432 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:55
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $258 |
| 1w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 56¢ | $1,687 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $257 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $11 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $160 |
| 2w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $513 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $1,063 |
| 2w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $196 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $3,054 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $35 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $37 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $151 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $92 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | JesetradingTop | Sell | No | 46¢ | $27 |
| 6w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $582 |
| 7w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $408 |
| 8w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $694 |
| 12w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $35 |