Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $19.8K·Volume $694.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$291 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢97¢at 21:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $291 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $291 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.