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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

ActiveLiquidity $66.0K·Volume $122.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes20%No81%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$5,628 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$395
72h +$845
Smart money entered73¢80¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$66.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,628 riding on it.

The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$395, +$845 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
8h agoRafael88TopBuyNo81¢$200
8h agoRafael88TopBuyNo81¢$200
1d agoRafael88TopBuyNo81¢$228
1d agoRafael88TopBuyNo81¢$228
6d agoStarMasterMidBuyNo74¢$185
6d agoStarMasterMidBuyNo73¢$146
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$26
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$11
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$14
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$20
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyYes29¢$145
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$38
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$284
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$5
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$12
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$583
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$14
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo71¢$1
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$464
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo72¢$158
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo76¢$370
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$74
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$3
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$5
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo74¢$279
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$3
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$1
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$6
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$359
1w agoRafael88TopBuyNo73¢$0
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo69¢$5
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo69¢$1
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo69¢$0
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo69¢$0
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo69¢$2
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo70¢$1,044
1w agoStarMasterMidSellNo52¢$1,010
1w agoStarMasterMidSellNo66¢$462
1w agoeCashTopBuyNo70¢$358