| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 124.2K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $122,355 | +$9,269 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 106.9K | 88¢ | 99¢ | $105,845 | +$12.1K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 111.4K | 79¢ | 93¢ | $103,680 | +$15.6K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | 63.2K | 38¢ | 98¢ | $62,167 | +$38.0K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40.6K | 86¢ | 98¢ | $39,980 | +$5,168 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 26.7K | 97¢ | 99¢ | $26,360 | +$447 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20.5K | 95¢ | 99¢ | $20,293 | +$880 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 30.9K | 49¢ | 62¢ | $19,117 | +$3,910 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 18K | 98¢ | 98¢ | $17,623 | +$57 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.8K | 80¢ | 85¢ | $11,813 | +$829 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 10.2K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $10,159 | +$32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 9.9K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $9,807 | +$34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 53.8K | 18¢ | 16¢ | $8,876 | -$861 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 7.3K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $7,220 | +$147 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.3K | 96¢ | 99¢ | $6,249 | +$139 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 7.2K | 80¢ | 84¢ | $6,062 | +$297 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 6.6K | 87¢ | 91¢ | $6,032 | +$273 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 5.9K | 98¢ | 100¢ | $5,828 | +$64 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 34.7K | 17¢ | 16¢ | $5,721 | -$13 |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 6K | 94¢ | 95¢ | $5,711 | +$85 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | No | 5.8K | 98¢ | 98¢ | $5,667 | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 5.6K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5,533 | +$19 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 5.2K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5,161 | +$25 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6.3K | 75¢ | 76¢ | $4,793 | +$82 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.7K | 44¢ | 45¢ | $4,404 | +$124 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 4.2K | 89¢ | 95¢ | $4,010 | +$285 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3.2K | 95¢ | 96¢ | $3,088 | +$32 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | No | 3K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $2,993 | +$21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | 97¢ | 97¢ | $2,964 | +$16 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.6K | 26¢ | 50¢ | $2,342 | +$1,151 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.9K | 18¢ | 19¢ | $2,308 | +$135 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.7K | 18¢ | 17¢ | $2,035 | -$86 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.2%-1.5%? | No | 2K | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2,025 | -$1 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 2.2K | 87¢ | 89¢ | $1,976 | +$50 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | No | 2K | 91¢ | 93¢ | $1,854 | +$53 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 9.3K | 31¢ | 19¢ | $1,814 | -$1,106 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 103.3K | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | $1,808 | +$157 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 33K | 7.7¢ | 4.8¢ | $1,601 | -$936 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.8K | 68¢ | 79¢ | $1,427 | +$208 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 94¢ | 96¢ | $1,364 | +$30 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 93¢ | 96¢ | $1,356 | +$48 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.5K | 8.9¢ | 9.2¢ | $1,344 | +$55 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.4K | 3.5¢ | 4.0¢ | $1,272 | +$173 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? | Yes | 1.3K | 84¢ | 98¢ | $1,247 | +$179 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.4K | 1.3¢ | 4.8¢ | $1,219 | +$879 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1.2K | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,195 | +$2 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7K | 36¢ | 31¢ | $1,129 | -$179 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 17.2K | 9.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $1,116 | -$470 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 3.5K | 39¢ | 31¢ | $1,104 | -$260 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30.4K | 2.0¢ | 3.5¢ | $1,078 | +$464 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4K | 25¢ | 26¢ | $1,058 | +$58 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 892.4 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $887 | +$0 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 252K | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $882 | -$234 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | No | 875.1 | 84¢ | 88¢ | $773 | +$35 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.9K | 1.3¢ | 2.3¢ | $750 | +$336 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.5K | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | $720 | +$137 |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 287.2K | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $718 | +$144 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 8.3K | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | $705 | -$430 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | No | 694 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $694 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? | Yes | 728.3 | 29¢ | 88¢ | $645 | +$432 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 67K | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $636 | -$93 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 1.7K | 36¢ | 33¢ | $585 | -$39 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 741.8 | 78¢ | 78¢ | $582 | +$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 39¢ | 38¢ | $552 | -$6 |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | No | 621.9 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $550 | +$21 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 579.9 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $513 | +$18 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 3.5K | 15¢ | 14¢ | $504 | -$14 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? | Yes | 626 | 51¢ | 73¢ | $454 | +$132 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.9K | 1.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $443 | +$176 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? | Yes | 3.8K | 27¢ | 10¢ | $388 | -$665 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 380.7 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $372 | +$18 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.6%-0.9%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 67¢ | $340 | +$304 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 333 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $331 | +$5 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | Yes | 340 | 7.1¢ | 97¢ | $329 | +$305 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 326 | 42¢ | 98¢ | $320 | +$183 |
| Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 333 | 93¢ | 91¢ | $304 | -$5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 350 | 73¢ | 72¢ | $250 | -$6 |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? | Yes | 519.9 | 24¢ | 48¢ | $247 | +$125 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 566 | 31¢ | 41¢ | $233 | +$59 |
| Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 241 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $229 | +$2 |
| Will Florida (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 222 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $221 | +$10 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 223.2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $219 | +$6 |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 216 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $216 | +$0 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 450 | 17¢ | 48¢ | $216 | +$140 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 858.7 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $206 | -$2 |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | Yes | 6.9K | 4.5¢ | 2.7¢ | $190 | -$122 |
| Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 186.9 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $185 | +$7 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 119K | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $178 | -$59 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 89¢ | $178 | -$2 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 13¢ | 13¢ | $165 | +$8 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42.5K | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $149 | -$21 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? | No | 150 | 85¢ | 95¢ | $143 | +$15 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 350 | 36¢ | 38¢ | $135 | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? | No | 1.6K | 9.0¢ | 8.0¢ | $126 | -$17 |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 800 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $124 | +$1 |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 125.2 | 14¢ | 98¢ | $122 | +$104 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 380.5 | 33¢ | 32¢ | $122 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 23¢ | $114 | +$78 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 517.6 | 29¢ | 22¢ | $112 | -$38 |
| Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | No | 222 | 26¢ | 50¢ | $110 | +$52 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.8K | 5.5¢ | 3.6¢ | $102 | -$53 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.8K | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $93 | -$10 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 107.9 | 79¢ | 86¢ | $93 | +$7 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 92.6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $93 | +$0 |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? | No | 93.9 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $93 | +$1 |
| Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? | No | 813.8 | 12¢ | 11¢ | $90 | -$4 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? | No | 96.3 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $88 | +$1 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 222 | 38¢ | 40¢ | $88 | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | $81 | -$16 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 16¢ | $80 | +$44 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 83¢ | 80¢ | $80 | -$3 |
| Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13? | Yes | 240.2 | 58¢ | 30¢ | $72 | -$67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 100 | 67¢ | 68¢ | $68 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections? | No | 300 | 32¢ | 23¢ | $68 | -$27 |
| Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 66.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $66 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | No | 66.2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $66 | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.2%-1.5%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 13¢ | $65 | +$29 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 13¢ | $63 | +$27 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 552.7 | 26¢ | 11¢ | $61 | -$81 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 684 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $58 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? | Yes | 250 | 31¢ | 23¢ | $56 | -$20 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 666 | 13¢ | 8.1¢ | $54 | -$35 |
| Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | No | 52.6 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $50 | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | No | 748.9 | 5.7¢ | 6.0¢ | $45 | +$3 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes | 50 | 87¢ | 90¢ | $45 | +$1 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.3K | 2.9¢ | 3.2¢ | $42 | +$5 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 823.7 | 4.4¢ | 4.8¢ | $40 | +$4 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 40 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $40 | +$1 |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 43.5 | 84¢ | 91¢ | $40 | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | No | 342.8 | 9.4¢ | 11¢ | $38 | +$6 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 100 | 40¢ | 37¢ | $37 | -$3 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 120 | 40¢ | 31¢ | $37 | -$11 |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 35.7 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$0 |
| Will fewer than 215 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 13¢ | 6.0¢ | $30 | -$35 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 1.2K | 11¢ | 2.5¢ | $30 | -$100 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | No | 30 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $30 | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $29 | +$1 |
| Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28? | No | 40 | 80¢ | 70¢ | $28 | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 505.2 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | $28 | -$44 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4.6K | 0.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $28 | +$11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 33¢ | 26¢ | $26 | -$6 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 27.7 | 86¢ | 91¢ | $25 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-0.3%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 4.8¢ | $25 | -$12 |
| Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027? | No | 100 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $22 | $0 |
| Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | Yes | 563.5 | 13¢ | 3.6¢ | $21 | -$51 |
| Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? | No | 100 | 29¢ | 19¢ | $19 | -$10 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 232.1 | 6.7¢ | 8.1¢ | $19 | +$3 |
| Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 18.3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $18 | +$0 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 18¢ | 17¢ | $17 | -$2 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | No | 19.5 | 6.3¢ | 81¢ | $16 | +$15 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 585.9 | 7.8¢ | 2.6¢ | $16 | -$30 |
| New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? | No | 50 | 17¢ | 30¢ | $15 | +$6 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 15.5 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $15 | +$1 |
| US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | Yes | 122 | 15¢ | 12¢ | $15 | -$4 |
| Will Tom Emmer be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 84 | 2.0¢ | 16¢ | $13 | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.3K | 2.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $12 | -$16 |
| Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 253.1 | 4.1¢ | 4.4¢ | $11 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 914 | 24¢ | 1.1¢ | $11 | -$210 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 200 | 27¢ | 4.7¢ | $9 | -$45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 222 | 4.2¢ | 3.9¢ | $9 | -$1 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 60.5 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $8 | +$1 |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 435.9 | 1.5¢ | 1.7¢ | $8 | +$1 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 449.1 | 3.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $7 | -$9 |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 329 | 14¢ | 2.0¢ | $7 | -$40 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 436.4 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | $6 | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 22.3 | 29¢ | 28¢ | $6 | -$0 |
| Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? | Yes | 40 | 15¢ | 15¢ | $6 | $0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | No | 100 | 80¢ | 5.5¢ | $6 | -$74 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? | Yes | 340 | 7.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $5 | -$19 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 644 | 11¢ | 0.8¢ | $5 | -$63 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 340 | 7.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $5 | -$20 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 444 | 5.5¢ | 1.1¢ | $5 | -$20 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats? | Yes | 140.6 | 5.9¢ | 3.3¢ | $5 | -$4 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes | 22 | 47¢ | 19¢ | $4 | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 100 | 21¢ | 3.9¢ | $4 | -$17 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 203.5 | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 444 | 13¢ | 0.7¢ | $3 | -$54 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 1.7K | 14¢ | 0.2¢ | $3 | -$232 |
| Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 94.1 | 5.0¢ | 3.5¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ? | Yes | 62.3 | 1.4¢ | 5.0¢ | $3 | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-0.3%? | Yes | 507.7 | 7.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $3 | -$33 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 14¢ | $3 | +$1 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 340.6 | 24¢ | 0.8¢ | $3 | -$80 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 283.7 | 9.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $3 | -$25 |
| Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 500 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $2 | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | Yes | 4.4K | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$151 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | No | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$72 |
| Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 222 | 13¢ | 0.9¢ | $2 | -$26 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 129 | 14¢ | 1.4¢ | $2 | -$17 |
| Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas? | Texas | 300 | 20¢ | 0.6¢ | $2 | -$57 |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | Yes | 14 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 213.1 | 0.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? | Yes | 50.8 | 2.6¢ | 2.2¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | Yes | 2.2K | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$179 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 325.2 | 1.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? | Yes | 300 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 50 | 36¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$17 |
| Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 50 | 30¢ | 1.2¢ | $1 | -$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | Yes | 640 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$106 |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 444 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 391.7 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 340 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? | Yes | 109.6 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 280.8 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 50 | 12¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | Yes | 222 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | Yes | 214.1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? | Yes | 159.3 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 145.7 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 129 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 64.5 | 9.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 22 | 12¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | Yes | 68.8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | Yes | 43.3 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | Yes | 42.5 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 1.5% or more? | Yes | 39.9 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%? | Yes | 38.9 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 30.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 18 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats? | Yes | 300 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$27 |
| Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$505 |
| Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027? | No | 210 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027? | Yes | 64.6 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | 999.8 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$38 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? | Yes | 620 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? | No | 8.2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio? | Yes | 352.1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Democrats win Texas? | Yes | 311.7 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas and Ohio? | Yes | 486.5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas and Ohio? | Yes | 226.1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas? | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Republicans win Ohio? | Yes | 190.2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats? | No | 74.7 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10.4K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,791 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 592.6 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.2K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$202 |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 727 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 56.4K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,178 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.8K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$932 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 1.9K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | 100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 24K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,470 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | Yes | 1.3K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | Opp. | 960 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$400 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | Yes | 1.2K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | 15.4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) | Yes | 1.5K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$36 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 8, 2026? | Yes | 921.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes | 16.4K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$654 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.4K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1? | No | 209.1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 422 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$53 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.2K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$687 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 867.6 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$45 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 11.3K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,588 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$881 |
| Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 5.2K | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$439 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 500 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 142 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? | No | 948.3 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$84 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | No | 4.3K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$348 |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? | Yes | 567 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$71 |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | No | 679.2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$78 |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | Paxton | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? | Yes | 694.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3K | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$175 |
| Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends? | Yes | 100 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 23.7 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.7K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$402 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 62.6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Democrats win fewer than 5 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 660.3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$110 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 9.7K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,931 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 68.5K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8,537 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 6.4K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,303 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 222 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 89K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33.4K |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 44.1K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17.8K |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 80 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 722 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$144 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? | Yes | 2.5K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,000 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? | No | 310 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$65 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? | Yes | 258.6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$49 |
| Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election? | Yes | 220 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$142 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 1.3K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$177 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | Yes | 2.9K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,076 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? | No | 600 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$176 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | Yes | 48 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | No | 678 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$102 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? | No | 112.7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? | Yes | 150.5 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election? | Yes | 157 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$30 |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election? | Yes | 283.4 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 767.8 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 222 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 6.6K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 5.9K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$323 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | Yes | 50 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 75 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 75 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | No | 670 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$107 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? | Yes | 2.9K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$434 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 19.6K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,294 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.3K | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$207 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3.1K | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$285 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3.7K | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$337 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3.7K | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$337 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 8K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,518 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 7K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,610 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | No | 200 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | Yes | 237.9 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? | Yes | 507 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$61 |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 423.6 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$228 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 2.8K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,143 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 626 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | Yes | 278 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$27 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? | Yes | 141.9 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | Yes | 400 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? | Yes | 100 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes | 788.5 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$36 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | No | 3K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | Yes | 829.6 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire? | Yes | 700 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$100 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 2.1K | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$57 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 2.4K | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$86 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 900 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$80 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 120.1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 8.5K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$139 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 8.4K | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$203 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 11.5K | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$400 |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 10 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 2.1K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$113 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 822 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 222 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 6.9K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 1.8K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$38 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 833.3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 430.8 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$57 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 585.3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$152 |
| Will Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats? | Yes | 34.4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.8K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,027 |
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | No | 158.9 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$98 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats? | Yes | 140 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska? | Yes | 1.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$249 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 222 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$118 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$104 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 686.5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 19.3K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,395 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |