Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $2,134·Volume $111·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,255 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,740
72h +$1,740
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 06:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,134
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,255 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,255 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,740, +$1,740 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $444 |
| 8h ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $961 |
| 8h ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $244 |
| 8h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $27 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $29 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $29 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $300 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $300 |
| 8h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $71 |
| 8h ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $6 |