Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
ActiveLiquidity $21.5K·Volume $44.3K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes36%No64%
Smart money leans
Yes
36% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
65%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
36%price36%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$156 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$227
72h +$263
Smart money entered36¢36¢at 22:00Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$21.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Yes", with $156 riding on it.
The price of 36% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 36¢; the price was 36¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $156 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$227, +$263 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $30 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $30 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $85 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $85 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 60¢ | $115 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 54¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 49¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 74¢ | $9 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $749 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $30 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $75 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $75 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $61 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $15 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $15 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $92 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $150 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $152 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $181 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $91 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $3 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $160 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $126 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $265 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $32 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $160 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $162 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $135 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $345 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $226 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $34 |