Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $173.5K·Volume $25.0M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
69%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$65.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢98¢at 17:41Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$173.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $65.3K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,930 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $2,585 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $12,077 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $75 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $7,258 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $4,620 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $2,502 |
| 1w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Sell | Yes | 2.8¢ | $89 |
| 1w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Sell | Yes | 2.6¢ | $111 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $485 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $325 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $4,841 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $597 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $98 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $26,010 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $275 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 95¢ | $4,759 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $798 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,930 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $3,474 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,296 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $380 |
| 1w ago | touristsMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $8,701 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $191 |
| 1w ago | touristsMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $14,985 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,423 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,434 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | ethBELIVERTop | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $714 |
| 2w ago | ethBELIVERTop | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $37 |
| 2w ago | ethBELIVERTop | Sell | Yes | 4.5¢ | $73 |
| 2w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $195 |
| 2w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $265 |
| 2w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $927 |