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Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?

ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $21.9K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:20computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,319 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered34¢98¢at 03:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,319 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 34¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:20
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes96¢$3
6d ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes96¢$96
6d ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes96¢$50
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$42
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$47
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$58
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$30
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$13
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes97¢$23
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$36
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$29
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$217
1w agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes55¢$24
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$110
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$24
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$3
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$6
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$2
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes22¢$236
1w ago0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319MidBuyYes20¢$273
9w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo89¢$11