Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $20.9K·Volume $207.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes15%No85%
Smart money leans
Yes
15% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
15%price15%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$426 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$177
72h +$239
Smart money entered18¢15¢at 03:39Edge leftnoneLast smart buy12h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$20.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $426 riding on it.
The price of 15% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 18¢; the price was 15¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $426 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$177, +$239 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $3 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $3 |
| 12h ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $177 |
| 1d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $31 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $17 |
| 3d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $253 |
| 4d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $300 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $155 |
| 4d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $2,168 |
| 5d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $2,958 |
| 5d ago | QuantDeLaFugaziMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $300 |
| 6d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $629 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $354 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $44 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $37 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $18 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $272 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $43 |
| 6d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $1,403 |
| 6d ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $611 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $978 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $1,249 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $1,360 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $2,866 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $144 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $61 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $216 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $244 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |