Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $23.9K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes95%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$933 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$820
Smart money entered93¢95¢at 04:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $933 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $933 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$820 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $354 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $58 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $58 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $354 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $227 |
| 6d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $201 |
| 6d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $100 |