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Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $12.3K·Volume $19.5K·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:13computed 1h ago
Thin smart-money data
Only $74 of qualifying stake from 1 wallet — too little to read a signal.
Explanation

Too little smart money is at stake here ($74) to read a signal — the consensus number only says the few wallets present lean the same way, not that they're confident.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:13
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
3d ago1walrusMidBuyYes0.3¢$0
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes2.1¢$41
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes2.3¢$2
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes2.1¢$0
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes2.1¢$1
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$12
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$3
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$6
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$6
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$2
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$2
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$22
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$22
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$6
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$2
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes11¢$0
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes15¢$75
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$12
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes28¢$14
4d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo72¢$9
4d agoviniiTopBuyNo51¢$242
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes20¢$0
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes50¢$109
4d agolongliveapplesTopSellYes50¢$131
5d agoviniiTopBuyNo56¢$468
5d agoviniiTopBuyNo57¢$112
5d agoviniiTopBuyYes41¢$670
1w ago1walrusMidBuyYes37¢$2
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo59¢$24
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo63¢$3
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes36¢$29
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$11
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$8
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$7
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes32¢$2
2w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo67¢$7
2w agolongliveapplesTopBuyYes35¢$92
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes32¢$10
6w agolongliveapplesTopSellYes38¢$81
10w agolongliveapplesTopSellYes42¢$87
10w agolongliveapplesTopBuyYes38¢$12
10w agolongliveapplesTopBuyYes35¢$6
10w agolongliveapplesTopBuyYes33¢$131