Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $34.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$2,179 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered25¢98¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,179 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 25¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $294 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $107 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $135 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $6 |