Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $3,759·Volume $2,948·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes71%No29%
Smart money leans
Yes
71% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
71%price71%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$675 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$355
72h +$1,065
Smart money entered68¢71¢at 00:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,759
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $675 riding on it.
The price of 71% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 71¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $675 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$355, +$1,065 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 28¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $345 |
| 1d ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $330 |
| 1d ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $330 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 22¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 22¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 22¢ | $2 |