Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $3,669·Volume $53.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes27%No74%
Smart money leans
Yes
27% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price27%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,000 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered25¢27¢at 06:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$3,669
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,000 riding on it.
The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 25¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,000 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $58 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $56 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $24 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $91 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $741 |