Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?
ActiveLiquidity $14.9K·Volume $20.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
83%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,100 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢98¢at 06:36Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$14.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $1,100 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $1,100 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $532 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $60 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $21 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $36 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $14 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $33 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $40 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |