| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 190.1K | 81¢ | 92¢ | $173,974 | +$20.5K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.8K | 86¢ | 92¢ | $42,398 | +$2,848 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 44.5K | 80¢ | 92¢ | $40,943 | +$5,311 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 36.2K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $35,172 | +$1,153 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 23.2K | 82¢ | 90¢ | $20,881 | +$1,789 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 11.7K | 84¢ | 91¢ | $10,569 | +$749 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | No | 10.9K | 93¢ | 95¢ | $10,411 | +$244 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes | 7.5K | 93¢ | 100¢ | $7,496 | +$498 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 7.6K | 93¢ | 94¢ | $7,064 | +$5 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 7K | 86¢ | 93¢ | $6,542 | +$477 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | No | 6.3K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $6,238 | +$51 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6.5K | 74¢ | 76¢ | $4,922 | +$127 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.9K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $4,843 | +$393 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.9K | 87¢ | 89¢ | $4,390 | +$101 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 4.5K | 70¢ | 85¢ | $3,872 | +$718 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | No | 4.3K | 35¢ | 81¢ | $3,502 | +$1,980 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | No | 3.5K | 94¢ | 99¢ | $3,441 | +$162 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.4K | 80¢ | 94¢ | $3,137 | +$469 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 3.1K | 88¢ | 96¢ | $3,000 | +$228 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026? | No | 3.2K | 92¢ | 92¢ | $2,928 | +$5 |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 3K | 85¢ | 94¢ | $2,832 | +$273 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 2.9K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $2,807 | +$65 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | No | 2.8K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $2,783 | +$33 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | No | 3.5K | 80¢ | 79¢ | $2,748 | -$22 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.6K | 97¢ | 99¢ | $2,548 | +$45 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 3.8K | 77¢ | 68¢ | $2,542 | -$354 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 2.7K | 55¢ | 91¢ | $2,432 | +$966 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes | 2.7K | 78¢ | 90¢ | $2,419 | +$322 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 2.6K | 82¢ | 90¢ | $2,394 | +$218 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | 83¢ | 93¢ | $2,388 | +$260 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.6K | 85¢ | 86¢ | $2,184 | +$4 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3K | 80¢ | 94¢ | $2,141 | +$313 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.2K | 89¢ | 94¢ | $2,098 | +$114 |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | No | 2.3K | 87¢ | 89¢ | $2,000 | +$39 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 2K | 98¢ | 98¢ | $1,995 | +$4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2K | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1,973 | +$75 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 2.1K | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1,966 | +$208 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.1K | 86¢ | 92¢ | $1,930 | +$121 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2K | 72¢ | 86¢ | $1,917 | +$321 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.9K | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1,830 | +$93 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.8K | 75¢ | 94¢ | $1,703 | +$336 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.8K | 60¢ | 96¢ | $1,690 | +$628 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | 73¢ | 68¢ | $1,679 | -$133 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | No | 1.8K | 90¢ | 92¢ | $1,679 | +$52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | 55¢ | 94¢ | $1,569 | +$649 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.8K | 80¢ | 84¢ | $1,544 | +$70 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | 77¢ | 97¢ | $1,495 | +$306 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 1.6K | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1,434 | +$125 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.4K | 74¢ | 97¢ | $1,405 | +$339 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 82¢ | 97¢ | $1,317 | +$204 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | 82¢ | 89¢ | $1,166 | +$86 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.2K | 77¢ | 97¢ | $1,112 | +$228 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | No | 1.2K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1,110 | +$14 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 1.2K | 91¢ | 91¢ | $1,100 | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 91¢ | 97¢ | $1,074 | +$64 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15? | No | 1.2K | 95¢ | 92¢ | $1,073 | -$25 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11? | Yes | 1.1K | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,056 | $0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 1K | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1,023 | +$49 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1,020 | +$25 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? | No | 2.2K | 88¢ | 46¢ | $993 | -$911 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? | No | 1K | 71¢ | 93¢ | $947 | +$228 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | 930 | 98¢ | 98¢ | $915 | +$6 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 86¢ | 86¢ | $909 | +$8 |
| Will Eminem release an album in 2026? | No | 977 | 78¢ | 93¢ | $909 | +$151 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 1.4K | 78¢ | 62¢ | $884 | -$225 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 977 | 50¢ | 89¢ | $874 | +$391 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 863.4 | 64¢ | 98¢ | $848 | +$299 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 865 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $817 | +$51 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 802.6 | 76¢ | 98¢ | $789 | +$182 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 1K | 75¢ | 78¢ | $788 | +$31 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 864.2 | 90¢ | 91¢ | $787 | +$12 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 898 | 84¢ | 87¢ | $786 | +$32 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 937 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $764 | +$2 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 790 | 68¢ | 97¢ | $762 | +$223 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 10? | Yes | 760 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $756 | +$0 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026? | No | 779.7 | 97¢ | 92¢ | $714 | -$45 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 719 | 98¢ | 98¢ | $702 | -$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1K | 45¢ | 70¢ | $695 | +$245 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 766 | 81¢ | 89¢ | $678 | +$60 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | No | 665 | 85¢ | 96¢ | $640 | +$74 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? | No | 650 | 95¢ | 93¢ | $603 | -$14 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 10? | Yes | 599 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $594 | +$2 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 666 | 73¢ | 88¢ | $583 | +$97 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 633 | 74¢ | 91¢ | $575 | +$103 |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 610 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $562 | +$8 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 575 | 78¢ | 96¢ | $555 | +$107 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | Yes | 549 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $545 | +$13 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 777 | 77¢ | 69¢ | $540 | -$55 |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | No | 590 | 88¢ | 91¢ | $537 | +$16 |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 600 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $531 | +$12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 10? | No | 490 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $490 | +$3 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 533 | 84¢ | 91¢ | $482 | +$35 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 454 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $439 | +$31 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 444 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $436 | +$57 |
| Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 160k? | No | 424 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $419 | +$12 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 433 | 67¢ | 97¢ | $418 | +$128 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 409.6 | 83¢ | 96¢ | $392 | +$53 |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 390 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $384 | +$9 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? | No | 399 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $375 | +$1 |
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? | No | 438.4 | 71¢ | 84¢ | $368 | +$59 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 455.6 | 63¢ | 80¢ | $367 | +$80 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13? | Yes | 378 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $367 | $0 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 550 | 91¢ | 64¢ | $349 | -$151 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 390.1 | 82¢ | 86¢ | $337 | +$19 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 356.6 | 83¢ | 90¢ | $321 | +$24 |
| Printr FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 332 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $321 | -$5 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 343 | 77¢ | 93¢ | $318 | +$54 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? | No | 365 | 93¢ | 87¢ | $317 | -$21 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 565 | 70¢ | 56¢ | $314 | -$82 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 343 | 77¢ | 89¢ | $305 | +$41 |
| Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 333 | 99¢ | 91¢ | $303 | -$27 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 322 | 61¢ | 94¢ | $301 | +$105 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 333 | 83¢ | 90¢ | $300 | +$23 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 330.1 | 75¢ | 91¢ | $299 | +$51 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | No | 300 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $298 | +$7 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 332 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $297 | +$33 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 290 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $283 | +$2 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 309 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $283 | +$2 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 290 | 82¢ | 97¢ | $283 | +$45 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 290 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $274 | +$19 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 288 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $272 | +$23 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 292 | 85¢ | 93¢ | $270 | +$23 |
| Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026? | No | 280 | 76¢ | 96¢ | $269 | +$57 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 258 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $258 | +$17 |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | Yes | 262.9 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $252 | +$2 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 290 | 91¢ | 85¢ | $248 | -$16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 254 | 84¢ | 97¢ | $247 | +$33 |
| Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 248.9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $230 | +$4 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 575 | 67¢ | 39¢ | $224 | -$163 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 227.4 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $220 | +$13 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 244.7 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $219 | +$24 |
| Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? | No | 222 | 84¢ | 98¢ | $219 | +$33 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? | No | 222 | 98¢ | 98¢ | $217 | +$0 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 222 | 68¢ | 96¢ | $213 | +$62 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 211 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $202 | +$16 |
| Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31? | No | 285.5 | 82¢ | 69¢ | $197 | -$36 |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 190 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $187 | -$0 |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? | No | 190 | 92¢ | 88¢ | $167 | -$8 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 325 | 88¢ | 50¢ | $163 | -$123 |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? | No | 164 | 76¢ | 95¢ | $155 | +$30 |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 161 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $153 | +$10 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 154.5 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $148 | +$15 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | No | 190 | 82¢ | 77¢ | $146 | -$10 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 169 | 56¢ | 87¢ | $146 | +$52 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | 69¢ | 91¢ | $146 | +$35 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 137.3 | 66¢ | 96¢ | $132 | +$42 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 175.7 | 72¢ | 74¢ | $129 | +$3 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 132.9 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $127 | +$2 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 132.5 | 73¢ | 92¢ | $122 | +$25 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 353 | 24¢ | 31¢ | $109 | +$24 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 72¢ | 96¢ | $107 | +$27 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 111 | 22¢ | 96¢ | $106 | +$82 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $105 | +$8 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 121 | 77¢ | 73¢ | $88 | -$5 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 121 | 78¢ | 70¢ | $84 | -$10 |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 90 | 82¢ | 92¢ | $83 | +$9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 70.2 | 79¢ | 84¢ | $59 | +$4 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 55 | 76¢ | 97¢ | $53 | +$12 |
| Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 38 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $38 | +$1 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 35 | 79¢ | 94¢ | $33 | +$5 |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by November 30, 2026? | No | 22.7 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $22 | +$1 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 20.9 | 57¢ | 92¢ | $19 | +$7 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $12 | +$0 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 14.6 | 59¢ | 77¢ | $11 | +$3 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 11.1 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $11 | +$1 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 95.8 | 69¢ | 7.5¢ | $7 | -$59 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 93¢ | 38¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 24¢ | 6.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 52¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 1 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |