Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
ActiveLiquidity $42.6K·Volume $3.2M·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes52%No49%
Smart money leans
Yes
49% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.8pp
model above price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
49%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
30
$168.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,487
72h +$4,093
Smart money entered73¢49¢at 07:07(0% priced in)Edge left+0.8ppLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$42.6K
Explanation
30 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $168.3K riding on it.
The price of 49% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 49¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,487, +$4,093 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:07
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $97 |
| 1h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 48¢ | $48 |
| 1h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 54¢ | $54 |
| 1h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $48 |
| 1h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 52¢ | $52 |
| 4h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $457 |
| 4h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 48¢ | $17 |
| 4h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $14 |
| 4h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $16 |
| 4h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $16 |
| 4h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $45 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $45 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $24 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $18 |
| 8h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $16 |
| 8h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 48¢ | $16 |
| 9h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $135 |