Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,075·Volume $8,430·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$708 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,143
Smart money entered97¢91¢at 22:43(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$1,075
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $708 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $708 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,143 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $180 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $180 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $130 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $130 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 99¢ | $213 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 99¢ | $84 |