Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 160k?
ActiveLiquidity $651·Volume $1,156·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$407 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$418
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 17:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$651
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $407 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $407 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$418 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $408 |