Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $24.8K·Volume $16.2K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes12%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$2,998 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,946
Smart money entered87¢89¢at 07:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$24.8K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,998 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,946 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $932 |
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $932 |
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $799 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $73 |
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $799 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $73 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $74 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $74 |
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $105 |
| 4d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $32 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $86 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $29 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $52 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $57 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $263 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $297 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $400 |
| 6w ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $23 |
| 6w ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |