Will Drake release a new album by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $47.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,559 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢94¢at 21:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,559 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,559 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $580 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $526 |
| 3w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $129 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $91 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $409 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $260 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $40 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $435 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Sell | No | 70¢ | $533 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $102 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $31 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $58 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $176 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $113 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $131 |