Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $3,282·Volume $20.4K·Ends Dec 18, 2026
Price now:Yes88%No13%
Smart money leans
Yes
88% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$254 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢88¢at 11:49(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 36d(Dec 18, 2026)Liquidity$3,282
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $254 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $254 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $15 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $136 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 10¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $11 |
| 5w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 34¢ | $2 |