Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $25.2K·Volume $15.5K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,233 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$232
72h -$334
Smart money entered94¢97¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy13h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$25.2K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,233 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$232, -$334 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $105 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $105 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $150 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $150 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $126 |
| 2d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $94 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $67 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $939 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $456 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $65 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $728 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $84 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $176 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $180 |