Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $5,939·Volume $45.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,851 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢89¢at 06:34(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$5,939
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,851 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,851 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 1.1¢ | $21 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 2.7¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 2.4¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $474 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $81 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $324 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $157 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $380 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $256 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $178 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $93 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $109 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $23 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $558 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $85 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $31 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $491 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $42 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $91 |
| 8w ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $531 |
| 12w ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $76 |
| 12w ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $389 |