Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $19.7K·Volume $169.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
75%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$6,570 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$311
72h -$3,088
Smart money entered88¢93¢at 00:08Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $6,570 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$311, -$3,088 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $184 |
| 20h ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $184 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1,380 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1,380 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $15 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $77 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $21 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $50 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $36 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $257 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $231 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $252 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $297 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $25 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $45 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $63 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2,199 |
| 3w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $904 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 83¢ | $483 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $93 |
| 6w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $255 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $30 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $14 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $51 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $103 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $26 |
| 8w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $85 |
| 10w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $88 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $67 |