Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $32.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes12%No88%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$5,630 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$583
Smart money entered86¢88¢at 11:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,630 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,630 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$583 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $245 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $351 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $115 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $270 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $190 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $26 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $8 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $58 |
| 10w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $85 |
| 10w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $68 |
| 10w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1,633 |
| 10w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1,041 |