Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,357 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,653
72h +$4,653
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 20:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 31h 1m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,357 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,357 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,653, +$4,653 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $50 |
| 4h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $25 |
| 4h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $76 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $76 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $243 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $148 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $243 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $148 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $82 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $247 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $247 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,056 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,056 |
| 1d ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $414 |
| 1d ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $414 |