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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11?

ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 20:57computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,357 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,653
72h +$4,653
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 20:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 31h 1m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,357 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,357 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,653, +$4,653 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 20:57
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$50
4h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$50
4h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$25
4h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$25
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$76
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$76
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$243
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$148
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$243
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$148
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$16
6h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$16
7h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$82
7h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$247
7h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$247
7h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$1,056
7h agononkenny90TopBuyYes99¢$1,056
1d agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes98¢$414
1d agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes98¢$414