Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $37.8K·Volume $828.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No92%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$24.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered77¢90¢at 16:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$37.8K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $24.5K riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $178 |
| 2d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $890 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $193 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $117 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $408 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $407 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $466 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $1,074 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,183 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,182 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $210 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $178 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $460 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $164 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $1,836 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $288 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $359 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |