Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$659 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,037
72h +$1,037
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 20:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 3d(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $659 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $659 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,037, +$1,037 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $14 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $367 |
| 7h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $367 |
| 10h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $292 |