Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $30.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes12%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$736 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢89¢at 03:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $736 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $736 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $100 |
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $83 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $124 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $17 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $46 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $16 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $16 |
| 7w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $507 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $163 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $235 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $5 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $235 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $367 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $293 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $37 |
| 12w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $136 |
| 12w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $37 |
| 12w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $231 |