Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $13.7K·Volume $56.1K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$565 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢96¢at 17:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$13.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $565 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $565 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $241 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $283 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $42 |