Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $17.8K·Volume $153.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes13%No87%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
93%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$4,151 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,288
72h +$4,447
Smart money entered78¢88¢at 02:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$17.8K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,151 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,288, +$4,447 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:14