| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.8K | 79¢ | 89¢ | $2,500 | +$278 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.7K | 74¢ | 82¢ | $2,207 | +$236 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | 2K | 95¢ | 94¢ | $1,852 | -$16 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | 89¢ | 89¢ | $1,474 | -$4 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | 1.5K | 88¢ | 90¢ | $1,309 | +$27 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 4.9K | 44¢ | 26¢ | $1,266 | -$859 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 4.4K | 43¢ | 28¢ | $1,232 | -$660 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 1.5K | 72¢ | 79¢ | $1,138 | +$87 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? | Yes | 1.2K | 86¢ | 66¢ | $819 | -$242 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | 3.4K | 31¢ | 23¢ | $786 | -$268 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 819.3 | 87¢ | 89¢ | $729 | +$18 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | Yes | 1.1K | 60¢ | 63¢ | $660 | +$24 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 789.2 | 78¢ | 81¢ | $639 | +$27 |
| Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? | Yes | 734 | 76¢ | 73¢ | $536 | -$22 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 504.1 | 85¢ | 97¢ | $488 | +$58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 420 | 85¢ | 91¢ | $380 | +$22 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | Yes | 1.1K | 24¢ | 34¢ | $355 | +$98 |
| Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? | No | 590 | 72¢ | 58¢ | $342 | -$84 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 418.5 | 68¢ | 74¢ | $310 | +$24 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 2.8K | 19¢ | 11¢ | $308 | -$222 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 359.8 | 79¢ | 83¢ | $299 | +$14 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 384.6 | 48¢ | 67¢ | $260 | +$74 |
| Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 455.3 | 56¢ | 56¢ | $257 | +$2 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | No | 1.9K | 37¢ | 13¢ | $253 | -$444 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 235 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $234 | +$0 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 988.7 | 25¢ | 23¢ | $232 | -$16 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 232.2 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $227 | +$29 |
| Will Emeka Egbuka have 1,099.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 245.1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $224 | +$5 |
| Will Parker Washington have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 456.2 | 42¢ | 42¢ | $194 | +$2 |
| Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 200 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $193 | +$5 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 243.1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $186 | +$20 |
| Will Benfica finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | No | 178.8 | 71¢ | 96¢ | $172 | +$45 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 6% or more? | Yes | 152.8 | 16¢ | 98¢ | $150 | +$126 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 787.5 | 18¢ | 18¢ | $146 | +$0 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 212 | 75¢ | 69¢ | $145 | -$14 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 143.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $143 | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | Yes | 183.3 | 77¢ | 76¢ | $140 | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 720.8 | 21¢ | 19¢ | $133 | -$16 |
| Will Graham Gano be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 150 | 99¢ | 89¢ | $133 | -$15 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 148.8 | 89¢ | 89¢ | $132 | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | No | 149.5 | 88¢ | 88¢ | $132 | +$1 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.7K | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | $125 | -$42 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 194.4 | 62¢ | 62¢ | $121 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 383.5 | 52¢ | 30¢ | $117 | -$82 |
| Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 201.8 | 54¢ | 56¢ | $113 | +$4 |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | No | 111.7 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $108 | +$2 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 142.9 | 69¢ | 73¢ | $104 | +$6 |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 111.5 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $100 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 25% or more? | No | 100.5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 100.4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 100 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$26 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 100.3 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$25 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%? | No | 100.3 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $100 | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 100.3 | 81¢ | 99¢ | $100 | +$18 |
| Will Emeka Egbuka have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1.2K | 9.0¢ | 8.0¢ | $93 | -$12 |
| Will Garrett Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 201.6 | 46¢ | 44¢ | $89 | -$3 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 100.6 | 87¢ | 87¢ | $87 | -$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 10¢ | $86 | +$31 |
| Linera listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | No | 100.5 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $86 | +$3 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 187.6 | 26¢ | 43¢ | $82 | +$34 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? | No | 100 | 79¢ | 81¢ | $81 | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | Yes | 130 | 58¢ | 60¢ | $78 | +$3 |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 75¢ | $75 | +$73 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 82.2 | 92¢ | 90¢ | $74 | -$2 |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 233.1 | 39¢ | 29¢ | $69 | -$23 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? | No | 96.6 | 73¢ | 71¢ | $69 | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 358.8 | 26¢ | 19¢ | $68 | -$26 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026? | No | 96.7 | 77¢ | 68¢ | $66 | -$9 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 74.6 | 87¢ | 82¢ | $62 | -$3 |
| Will Inter Miami CF be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? | No | 74.6 | 85¢ | 82¢ | $61 | -$3 |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 68.2 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $60 | +$7 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026? | Yes | 96.3 | 47¢ | 62¢ | $60 | +$15 |
| Will Zay Flowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 70.6 | 82¢ | 85¢ | $60 | +$2 |
| Will Brock Bowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 95.3 | 40¢ | 62¢ | $59 | +$21 |
| Will Sam Darnold have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 60.2 | 86¢ | 93¢ | $56 | +$4 |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 239.4 | 11¢ | 23¢ | $55 | +$30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | No | 130.4 | 45¢ | 42¢ | $55 | -$3 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | No | 146 | 42¢ | 38¢ | $55 | -$7 |
| Will Joe Burrow have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 55.3 | 87¢ | 88¢ | $48 | +$0 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | Yes | 47.7 | 88¢ | 90¢ | $43 | +$1 |
| Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | Yes | 181.1 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $43 | +$3 |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 233.5 | 12¢ | 17¢ | $40 | +$13 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 420.2 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | $40 | -$11 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 184.9 | 8.9¢ | 21¢ | $39 | +$22 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 143.4 | 27¢ | 26¢ | $37 | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 195 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $37 | +$1 |
| Will Brock Bowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 96.7 | 57¢ | 38¢ | $37 | -$18 |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 233.2 | 20¢ | 15¢ | $34 | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 89.9 | 51¢ | 34¢ | $30 | -$16 |
| Will Garrett Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 53 | 64¢ | 56¢ | $30 | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 32 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $29 | +$1 |
| Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 34.1 | 82¢ | 80¢ | $27 | -$1 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? | Yes | 1.1K | 14¢ | 2.5¢ | $27 | -$128 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 90.1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $26 | +$7 |
| Will Tee Higgins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 33.3 | 76¢ | 75¢ | $25 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 9%-12%? | No | 24.3 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $24 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 24.2 | 86¢ | 98¢ | $24 | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 24.3 | 97¢ | 95¢ | $23 | -$1 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 230.1 | 13¢ | 9.6¢ | $22 | -$8 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 12% or more? | No | 24.4 | 94¢ | 82¢ | $20 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more? | No | 20.2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | $20 | -$0 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 21 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $20 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 39.8 | 24¢ | 48¢ | $19 | +$10 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? | Yes | 100.5 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $19 | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 161.1 | 12¢ | 12¢ | $19 | +$0 |
| Will Clive Davis rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 20.1 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $19 | +$1 |
| Will Jeremiyah Love have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | 77¢ | 92¢ | $18 | +$3 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20.1 | 86¢ | 91¢ | $18 | +$1 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? | Yes | 74.3 | 25¢ | 24¢ | $18 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 34.1 | 6.8¢ | 51¢ | $17 | +$15 |
| Will Ladd McConkey have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20.1 | 90¢ | 85¢ | $17 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 39.9 | 17¢ | 43¢ | $17 | +$10 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 17.6 | 82¢ | 97¢ | $17 | +$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 117 | 15¢ | 14¢ | $17 | -$1 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 20 | 57¢ | 85¢ | $17 | +$6 |
| Will Nicholas Brendon rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 20.1 | 89¢ | 84¢ | $17 | -$1 |
| Will Colston Loveland have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 19 | 94¢ | 87¢ | $17 | -$1 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $17 | +$1 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 504 | 16¢ | 3.2¢ | $16 | -$65 |
| Will Joe Burrow have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | 82¢ | 82¢ | $16 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 234.5 | 9.4¢ | 6.9¢ | $16 | -$6 |
| Will Malaysia come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026? | No | 18.8 | 87¢ | 84¢ | $16 | -$1 |
| Will Dak Prescott have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | 76¢ | 79¢ | $16 | +$1 |
| Will Malaysia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 18.7 | 75¢ | 80¢ | $15 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6% or more? | Yes | 33.7 | 7.2¢ | 44¢ | $15 | +$12 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 33.3 | 20¢ | 44¢ | $15 | +$8 |
| Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 100.8 | 17¢ | 14¢ | $14 | -$3 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 106.4 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $14 | +$2 |
| Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 20.1 | 77¢ | 67¢ | $13 | -$2 |
| Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 45 | 55¢ | 30¢ | $13 | -$11 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 88 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $13 | +$3 |
| Will Malaysia come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026? | No | 18.8 | 88¢ | 70¢ | $13 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 24.3 | 81¢ | 54¢ | $13 | -$7 |
| TownSquare FDV above $175M one day after launch? | No | 29.4 | 51¢ | 44¢ | $13 | -$2 |
| Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 4.5 | 45.2 | 43¢ | 27¢ | $12 | -$7 |
| Will Renée Good rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 20.1 | 79¢ | 60¢ | $12 | -$4 |
| Will Alex Pretti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 20.1 | 77¢ | 59¢ | $12 | -$4 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | No | 12.7 | 71¢ | 88¢ | $11 | +$2 |
| Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | No | 20 | 76¢ | 53¢ | $11 | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? | No | 10.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | Yes | 199 | 5.0¢ | 5.2¢ | $10 | +$0 |
| Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | 68¢ | 51¢ | $10 | -$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 11.6 | 76¢ | 87¢ | $10 | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 88.6 | 4.8¢ | 11¢ | $10 | +$6 |
| Will Rick Scott be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 9.9¢ | $10 | +$8 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 10 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $10 | +$0 |
| Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | Yes | 20 | 27¢ | 49¢ | $10 | +$4 |
| Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 19.4 | 57¢ | 50¢ | $10 | -$1 |
| Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | 81¢ | 47¢ | $9 | -$7 |
| Will Zay Flowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 71.1 | 16¢ | 13¢ | $9 | -$2 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 22.3 | 36¢ | 38¢ | $8 | +$0 |
| Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | No | 18.8 | 46¢ | 45¢ | $8 | -$0 |
| Will Puka Nacua have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 17.7 | 27¢ | 47¢ | $8 | +$4 |
| Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup? | Yes | 16.3 | 47¢ | 51¢ | $8 | +$1 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 189.3 | 2.7¢ | 4.3¢ | $8 | +$3 |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 111.2 | 14¢ | 7.2¢ | $8 | -$7 |
| Will Tee Higgins have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 33.2 | 21¢ | 24¢ | $8 | +$1 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | Yes | 11.9 | 70¢ | 65¢ | $8 | -$1 |
| Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 58.7 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $8 | +$1 |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 77.4 | 12¢ | 9.1¢ | $7 | -$2 |
| Will Puka Nacua have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 17 | 83¢ | 41¢ | $7 | -$7 |
| Will Tom Cotton be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 7.0¢ | $7 | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? | No | 6.9 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $7 | +$0 |
| Will Justin Herbert have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 8 | 86¢ | 84¢ | $7 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? | No | 7 | 99¢ | 95¢ | $7 | -$0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 7 | 86¢ | 93¢ | $7 | +$1 |
| Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup? | Yes | 16.3 | 36¢ | 39¢ | $6 | +$0 |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 450 | 7.7¢ | 1.4¢ | $6 | -$28 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 954.9 | 9.6¢ | 0.6¢ | $6 | -$86 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | O 10.5 | 6.9 | 82¢ | 88¢ | $6 | +$0 |
| Will Puka Nacua have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 34 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $6 | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | 197.7 | 6.0¢ | 2.8¢ | $6 | -$6 |
| Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 4.5 | 11 | 66¢ | 51¢ | $6 | -$2 |
| Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 11.1 | 33¢ | 50¢ | $5 | +$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1K | 8.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $5 | -$87 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 204.2 | 5.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $5 | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 111.5 | 2.9¢ | 4.2¢ | $5 | +$1 |
| Will Drake London have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 5 | 88¢ | 89¢ | $4 | +$0 |
| Will Dak Prescott have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20.1 | 24¢ | 21¢ | $4 | -$1 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $4 | -$18 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | Yes | 12 | 19¢ | 34¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | Yes | 51.3 | 9.6¢ | 7.7¢ | $4 | -$1 |
| Will Drake Maye have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 5.1 | 77¢ | 78¢ | $4 | +$0 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 242 | 0.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | 3.8¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | No | 178.3 | 28¢ | 2.1¢ | $4 | -$46 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 546.4 | 4.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $4 | -$18 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 3.5 | 64¢ | 98¢ | $3 | +$1 |
| Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 61.2 | 11¢ | 5.4¢ | $3 | -$3 |
| Will Jalen Hurts have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 200.1 | 5.5¢ | 1.6¢ | $3 | -$8 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 9.8 | 34¢ | 33¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 4.3 | 82¢ | 75¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will Joe Burrow have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 19.8 | 16¢ | 16¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51.7 | 6.0¢ | 6.0¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 4.6 | 71¢ | 67¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 3% or more? | No | 3.1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 3 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | No | 4.3 | 63¢ | 70¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 3.6 | 59¢ | 74¢ | $3 | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 32.2 | 11¢ | 8.0¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 2.8 | 77¢ | 92¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 45+ goals in the 2026-27 season? | No | 5.1 | 81¢ | 49¢ | $3 | -$2 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 20.1 | 14¢ | 12¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | No | 2.5 | 100¢ | 99¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will Colston Loveland have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 19.8 | 7.4¢ | 12¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 113.1 | 3.6¢ | 2.1¢ | $2 | -$2 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 40+ goals in the 2026-27 season? | Yes | 4.8 | 18¢ | 49¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 2.1 | 81¢ | 99¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Ladd McConkey have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | 10¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher? | No | 2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 6% or more? | No | 1.9 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | Yes | 750.6 | 6.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $2 | -$48 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 1.9 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Chase Brown have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20.1 | 27¢ | 9.0¢ | $2 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 152.2 | 17¢ | 1.1¢ | $2 | -$24 |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | No | 3 | 100¢ | 59¢ | $2 | -$1 |
| Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 2.1 | 84¢ | 82¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 12.7 | 35¢ | 12¢ | $2 | -$3 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $2 | -$5 |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 1.7 | 60¢ | 89¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 2.4 | 60¢ | 62¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 1.5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Comoros win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G? | Yes | 10 | 15¢ | 14¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | 13¢ | 7.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026? | No | 1.4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 6.8¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Justin Herbert have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 9.3 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.3K | 4.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$60 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 86.8 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Denver Broncos have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | Yes | 1.4 | 66¢ | 90¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 3.4 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | No | 1.4 | 91¢ | 87¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30? | Yes | 311.2 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | No | 1.2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 6.0¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | No | 1.3 | 88¢ | 87¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 4.5 | 29¢ | 26¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Jeremiyah Love have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20.1 | 22¢ | 5.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Graham Gano finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 155.2 | 1.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.2 | 64¢ | 90¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.6 | 38¢ | 66¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? | Yes | 20.1 | 13¢ | 5.3¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will Matthew Stafford have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 5.8 | 15¢ | 18¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.5 | 43¢ | 42¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | Yes | 682.6 | 6.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$44 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 12.8 | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 40 | 7.6¢ | 2.5¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will Drake Maye have 3,549.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 5 | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,400,000 and 8,800,000? | No | 1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1.1 | 81¢ | 92¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the 2027 Ryder Cup end in a tie? | Yes | 16.3 | 14¢ | 6.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | No | 1.1 | 75¢ | 87¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September? | No | 1 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 1.3 | 78¢ | 76¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.9 | 24¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 1.9 | 51¢ | 48¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1.1 | 88¢ | 87¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.8K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$60 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.8K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$60 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.2 | 43¢ | 42¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | No | 0.9 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | Yes | 0.9 | 42¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | No | 0.9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | No | 0.9 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 0.9 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 2.4 | 78¢ | 37¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.9 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | No | 7.9 | 16¢ | 11¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 0.9 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 0.8 | 61¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | No | 0.8 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Matthew Stafford have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1 | 83¢ | 83¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | No | 0.9 | 90¢ | 88¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 3.2 | 61¢ | 25¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 39.9 | 9.8¢ | 2.0¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? | Yes | 0.8 | 78¢ | 96¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September? | No | 0.8 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 0.8 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.8 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | Yes | 0.8 | 69¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 0.8 | 81¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 1.9 | 46¢ | 39¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Texas Tech have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 1 | 42¢ | 78¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 0.7 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 5.7 | 19¢ | 13¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 39.8 | 17¢ | 1.8¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota? | No | 0.7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | No | 0.7 | 54¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 2.7 | 28¢ | 26¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | No | 0.7 | 82¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 42.4 | 5.6¢ | 1.6¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | No | 0.7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 0.7 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.7 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.7 | 66¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1.3K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$43 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25? | Yes | 23.6 | 4.4¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1.1 | 21¢ | 59¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.6 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 1.1 | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 40% or more? | Yes | 41.7 | 5.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,800,000 and 9,200,000? | No | 0.6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 0.6 | 81¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 0.6 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 0.6 | 27¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | 16¢ | 3.0¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 1.9 | 97¢ | 32¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 0.6 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 0.6 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? | No | 0.6 | 48¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.3 | 50¢ | 41¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 137.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$11 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 152.4 | 19¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$28 |
| Will Drake London have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.7 | 73¢ | 77¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | No | 0.5 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Brian Schatz be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | No | 0.5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 0.6 | 80¢ | 85¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | No | 0.5 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | No | 0.5 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.5 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Texas Tech have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 10.5 | 1 | 48¢ | 50¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 25¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Drake London have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 5 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 0.5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.7 | 91¢ | 70¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 0.5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.3 | 20¢ | 36¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | Yes | 0.5 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | No | 0.7 | 68¢ | 64¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | No | 0.4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Drake Maye have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.7 | 32¢ | 63¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | No | 0.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | No | 0.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | Yes | 820.8 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 0.6 | 35¢ | 67¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.5 | 97¢ | 87¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.7 | 75¢ | 58¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 0.4 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 0.4 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? | No | 7.1 | 87¢ | 5.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.9 | 42¢ | 40¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | No | 0.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 0.4 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? | No | 0.4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,800,000 and 11,200,000? | No | 0.4 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Drake London have 1,149.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.7 | 16¢ | 51¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4? | No | 0.3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Cory Booker be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | Yes | 682.6 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$45 |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | No | 0.3 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 60% or more? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 0.3 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.3 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4? | No | 0.3 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 64¢ | 61¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 2.8 | 25¢ | 11¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | No | 0.3 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | No | 0.3 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 606.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 606.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 606.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Jayden Reed have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 2.9 | 13¢ | 10¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? | No | 0.3 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | No | 0.3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | No | 0.3 | 47¢ | 91¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.3 | 83¢ | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will TSMC be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 556.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 137.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 0.3 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September? | No | 0.3 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | No | 0.7 | 38¢ | 41¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more? | No | 0.3 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Venezia finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.3 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Drake Maye have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.7 | 66¢ | 36¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 0.8 | 28¢ | 32¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 0.2 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.3 | 68¢ | 82¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? | No | 0.2 | 85¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be less than 8,000,000? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in September? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | U 10.5 | 0.2 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | No | 0.2 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.2 | 80¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | 82¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in September? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,000,000 and 8,400,000? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 0.2 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.2 | 82¢ | 94¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? | No | 0.5 | 71¢ | 49¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 2.7 | 30¢ | 8.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | No | 16.5 | 6.0¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%? | No | 0.2 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 14.5% to 15.5%? | No | 0.2 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in September? | No | 0.2 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 0.2 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1000 and $4.1099 on November 6? | No | 0.2 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | No | 0.2 | 16¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.2 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 137.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.0900 and $4.0999 on November 6? | No | 0.2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | No | 0.2 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | No | 0.2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 18% or more? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1100 and $4.1199 on November 6? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? | No | 0.2 | 49¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | No | 0.2 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 0.2 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 382 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 380.4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6% or more? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota? | No | 0.2 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 0.2 | 36¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 120 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 120 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 120 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.4 | 31¢ | 50¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.2 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.2 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.0% or less in September? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 0.2 | 58¢ | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Torino finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.2 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | Yes | 0.2 | 85¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 0.2 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 321.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 321.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 321.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 321.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 44¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will A.J. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1.1 | 18¢ | 14¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | No | 0.2 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | No | 0.2 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | Yes | 23.6 | 25¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | U 9.5 | 1.5 | 32¢ | 10¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 2.4 | 12¢ | 6.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 15.5%+? | No | 0.2 | 69¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 30.4 | 18¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.3 | 52¢ | 53¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 0.2 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | 34¢ | 39¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Lecce finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will "stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Udinese finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.2 | 99¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.2 | 78¢ | 67¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | No | 0.2 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years? | No | 0.2 | 100¢ | 94¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | No | 0.2 | 72¢ | 87¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire? | No | 0.1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | No | 1 | 14¢ | 13¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Chen Chien-hsien win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 278.2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 278.2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? | Yes | 0.1 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Cagliari finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.1 | 99¢ | 97¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 5? | No | 0.1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37 and 38.5 million views on day 3? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Bournemouth finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | No | 0.1 | 78¢ | 95¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | No | 0.1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | No | 1.1 | 26¢ | 12¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | Yes | 0.1 | 28¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1.3 | 9.0¢ | 10.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | No | 0.1 | 74¢ | 85¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio Governor election and Democrats win the Ohio Senate election? | No | 0.1 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 0.1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 0.1 | 62¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.0800 and $4.0899 on November 6? | No | 0.1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Parma finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 98¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 0.1 | 68¢ | 81¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 99¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 240 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | No | 0.1 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will The Joint List win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 0.1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more? | Yes | 29.2 | 12¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 99¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 99¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000? | No | 0.1 | 82¢ | 89¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 0.2 | 14¢ | 59¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.1 | 17¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.2 | 59¢ | 58¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 97¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? | Yes | 0.1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000? | No | 0.1 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | Yes | 0.1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,400,000 and 10,800,000? | No | 0.1 | 92¢ | 92¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | No | 0.1 | 87¢ | 97¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Bologna finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.1 | 99¢ | 93¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | No | 0.1 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 0.1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 20%-30%? | No | 0.1 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 60.9 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 60.9 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 18 | 2.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 0.1 | 87¢ | 86¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 0.2 | 11¢ | 42¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 0.5 | 59¢ | 15¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 137.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 137.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 0.1 | 98¢ | 58¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 134.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 24.3 | 38¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? | Yes | 20.1 | 12¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 120 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | No | 0.3 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.3 | 28¢ | 21¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 0.2 | 33¢ | 36¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30? | Yes | 27.9 | 2.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 110.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 110.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 110.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 110.4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 110.4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 110.4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | 16¢ | 10¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 102 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 100 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 98.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | No | 0.2 | 33¢ | 23¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | No | 0.3 | 60¢ | 14¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more? | No | 0.5 | 95¢ | 8.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 2.7 | 33¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 76 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher? | Yes | 1.8 | 3.5¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 60.9 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 6.6 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | 15¢ | 14¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.7 | 3.2¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Inter Milan finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | No | 0.2 | 6.9¢ | 15¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 51.2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%? | Yes | 50 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | Yes | 50 | 6.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.1 | 24¢ | 20¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + M? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + SD? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 44.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 44.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 44.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 44.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 44.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | No | 0.3 | 25¢ | 5.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 0.1 | 17¢ | 11¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 2 | 12¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? | No | 0.1 | 16¢ | 12¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 2.7 | 4.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? | Yes | 23.6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? | No | 0.1 | 73¢ | 9.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? | No | 0.2 | 64¢ | 5.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 0.1 | 78¢ | 7.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.9 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.6 | 10¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.4 | 30¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election? | Yes | 0.4 | 8.3¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | No | 0.2 | 84¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bournemouth finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | No | 0.2 | 19¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + V? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + SD? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | Yes | 0.2 | 86¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6% or more? | Yes | 0.1 | 13¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will James Li win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election? | No | 0.2 | 15¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | No | 0.5 | 74¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.1 | 7.9¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? | No | 0.2 | 24¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | No | 0.1 | 37¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.2 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + V? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + L? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? | No | 0.4 | 17¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C? | Yes | 3.2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 0.2 | 12¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.4 | 2.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.1 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3% or more? | Yes | 0.1 | 6.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? | Yes | 579.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$64 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine? | Yes | 579.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$64 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan? | Yes | 579.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$64 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 2.6 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | No | 0.6 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%? | Yes | 27.1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%? | Yes | 26.3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? | Yes | 26.3 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more? | Yes | 55.6 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 0.8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 177.8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 177.8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 77.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 77.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | No | 0.9 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | Yes | 410.9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$48 |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 47.2 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? | Yes | 617.5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$69 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? | No | 0.4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$812 |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 48.3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 11, 2026? | Yes | 108 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026? | Yes | 20.1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 50.9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 49.9 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 33.3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 1.8K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$99 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | Yes | 660.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$73 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire? | Yes | 649 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$72 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | No | 0.5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota? | Yes | 461.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$51 |
| Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 164.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire? | Yes | 660.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$73 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota? | Yes | 649 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$72 |
| Will The Joint List win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 164.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | No | 2.2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 1.2K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 1.1K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$99 |
| Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 164.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 54.5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 54.5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 54.5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%? | No | 0.2 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%? | Yes | 20.1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 5.5% to 6.5%? | Yes | 37.3 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 6.5%+? | Yes | 20.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin <22%? | Yes | 54.8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 28%+? | Yes | 41.1 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | No | 1.3 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 0.2 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | No | 0.6 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | No | 0.9 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% in September? | Yes | 1.6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 12.9 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 13 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 12.8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 92.6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 92.7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$30 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 98.9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 132.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 1 or weaker? | Yes | 48.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 2? | Yes | 48.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 3? | No | 1.2 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 169.3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 84.1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 1.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 0.3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 0.4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Otzma win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 982.8 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 623.5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$193 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 2.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | Yes | 234.1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election? | Yes | 0.2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election? | No | 4.3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 19 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 19.8 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 21 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.3% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 39.5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.3 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? | No | 0.2 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | No | 152 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$70 |
| Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 3.6 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jordan Simmons win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 130 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | No | 0.3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 39.5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election? | No | 1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? | No | 4.5 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 1.4K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 23.7 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas and Nebraska Senate seats, and Democrats win Kansas? | Yes | 22.6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 1.6 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | Yes | 42.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | No | 2.8 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | No | 7.9 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? | No | 10.6 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 202.3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$40 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 217.3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | No | 2 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released prior to November 2, 2026? | Yes | 65.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 217.3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? | Yes | 100.3 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$90 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2? | Yes | 31.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? | No | 1.5 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 510.3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$126 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 0.1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Zulfiqar Ali win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 97.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Rahul Mehta win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 97.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will George Tavares win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 97.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 97.9 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | No | 2.6 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 621.4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Isael Munduruku win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 621.4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Gilberto Vasconcelos win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 621.4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 621.4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 621.4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Joshua Baez win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | No | 0.2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? | Yes | 751.1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$94 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | Yes | 777 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | Yes | 777 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | Yes | 777 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | Yes | 717.1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$90 |
| Will A.J. Ewing win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | No | 0.7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Esmerlyn Valdez win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | Yes | 154.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? | Yes | 154.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 16m? | Yes | 154.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 377.9 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$372 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? | Yes | 65 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? | Yes | 65 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Zac Veen win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Charlie Condon win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Robby Snelling win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 89.1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$82 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 879.3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$88 |
| Will Logan Henderson win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 966.3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 966.3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 966.3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$97 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Jonah Tong win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41.5 million views on day 3? | Yes | 39.2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41.5 and 43 million views on day 3? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44.5 million views on day 3? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 44.5 million or more views on day 3? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 40 million views on day 4? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Ryan Waldschmidt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41 and 42 million views on day 4? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 43 million views on day 4? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Jett Williams win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 45 million or more views on day 4? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be under 5.3? | Yes | 1.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Rhett Lowder win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | Yes | 1.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0? | No | 0.8 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Didier Fuentes win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Andrew Painter win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Justin Crawford win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 70 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.5 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bubba Chandler win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | Yes | 200 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | Yes | 200 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? | Yes | 200 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m? | Yes | 200 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | No | 610.8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$234 |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | No | 6.7 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Subtenente Luiz Carlos win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 502.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be under 5.3? | Yes | 11.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | Yes | 11.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | Yes | 11.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | Yes | 11.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2400 and $4.2499 on October 29? | Yes | 97.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 29? | Yes | 97.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2600 and $4.2699 on October 29? | Yes | 97.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the US national average gas price be $4.2700+ on October 29? | Yes | 79.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Prof. Witer Naves win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 502.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Laurez Moreira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 502.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Du Pereira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 502.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Ataides de Oliveira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | Yes | 502.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 204 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1100 and $4.1199 on November 6? | Yes | 28.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 699.3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the US national average gas price be $4.1200+ on November 6? | Yes | 66.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m? | Yes | 393.2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m? | Yes | 393.2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | Yes | 393.2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | Yes | 393.2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | Yes | 326.6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$47 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0? | Yes | 77 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5? | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 0.2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? | Yes | 37.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? | Yes | 0.5 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 21.7 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | Yes | 0.3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | No | 0.2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | No | 33.4 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Zach LaVine play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? | Yes | 109.4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 90.3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 4.9 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 12.7 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 295.6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 154.3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 150.5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$48 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 150.5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$48 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 510 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 443.9 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$83 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 2.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$224 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 2.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$224 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1.6K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$224 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 67.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 67.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? | No | 97.1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2.9K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2.9K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 2.9K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 21.2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 6.6K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$873 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$325 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 4.4K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$871 |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B? | No | 20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,300 koz? | No | 20 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $150? | No | 17.3 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250? | Yes | 20 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m? | Yes | 59 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? | Yes | 59 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? | Yes | 59 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? | No | 28.9 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 153.4 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$39 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | No | 77.2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$95 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 13.2 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.5 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 1.5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 793 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$500 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 1.3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$66 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,004 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | No | 14.6 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 261 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$94 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | Yes | 66.8 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.7K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$533 |
| Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 28.2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 28.2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 31.1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will USD be between 2.3M and 2.4M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 31.1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 31.1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 31.1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 0.4 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 0.6 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 42 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October? | Yes | 23.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in October? | Yes | 23.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 220 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | No | 0.7 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 0.2 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 236.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 236.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 236.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 236.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 236.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Yes | 8.3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CentreBC win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Yes | 8.3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will OneBC win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Yes | 8.3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 0.5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 501.6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | No | 0.2 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 1.3 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 177.8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 177.8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | No | 1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 9.1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |